Back to Blog

Market indicators for South-Eastern Europe – week 46

Eylert Ellefsen
Archived blog post. This blog post has been transferred from our previous blogging platform. Links and images may not work as intended.

Energy Quantified is preparing to create market reports, where we look at the main market indicators on a weekly perspective. This blog series is a sneak peek into the content of the reports.

Comment

Comment updated 13 November

The spot prices in South-Eastern Europe (SEE) is so far this week quite bullish due to low wind power in Romania and partly influenced by low German wind too.

We expect declining spot prices next week (47) as the Romanian wind power will normalize, we will see substantial precipitation and probably increased hydropower. SEE Production capacity will remain mostly unchanged.

German wind power will increase next week (47), and we see declining spot prices for Germany and Austria.

The fuels and the associated SRMCs are slightly bullish at the moment, partly some upside support from news of the Coronavirus vaccine and US presidential election. Thus the Month Ahead prices have been somewhat bullish lately. Our short-term view is slightly on the bullish side too.

Main market indicators

Main market indicators for the power markets in South-Eastern Europe as view on 13 November. Closing prices for coal, gas, EUA and power are from 12 November.

Important market drivers in charts

More from the Blog

Fuels lifted French and German July prices

Eylert Ellefsen
Eylert Ellefsen

European spot prices turned out significantly higher in June than what the market expected by the end of May. In this blog post, we’re reviewing the main reasons, focusing on France and Germany.

Read Story

French Q4 prices likely overpriced due to 300 TWh nuclear target

Eylert Ellefsen
Eylert Ellefsen

France’s decision to cut the country’s nuclear production target for 2020 spooked markets, but given normal weather conditions Q4 prices for France should come down significantly from current levels, an EQ analysis of the fundamental situation indicates.

Read Story

After a dry 1st half of the year, precipitation ups hydropower output in the SEE/Balkan region

Eylert Ellefsen
Eylert Ellefsen

Overall hydropower production in the SEE region has until week 24 been at about 70% of normal, but a recent surge in precipitation has improved inflows in the region, where hydropower represents 20%-25% of overall power supply.

Read Story

Ready to try Energy Quantified?

No payment or credit card required.
Would you rather like a personal demo? Book a demo