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Energy Quantified's technical blog on product updates, tips for energy market participants, case studies and more.

Update on Nordic hydro: Increased risk for flooding

Eylert Ellefsen
,
May 6, 2020

The risk for severe flooding and water spillage in the NordPool is on the rise. The reason is that the latest observed temperatures, and forecasted low temperatures, expectedly will further delay the melting process. Inevitably this will shift the melting to occur during periods with higher temperatures than previously expected.

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Fast or slow consumption recovery?

Eylert Ellefsen
,
April 24, 2020

The near future is uncertain, both for how to combat the Coronavirus epidemic and for the economic outlook. EQ has studied consumption development so far and simulates some scenarios to show possible paths of recovery towards New Year.

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Norway hydro: Record high snow reservoirs, expect full reservoirs mid-July

Eylert Ellefsen
,
April 6, 2020

The snow- and groundwater level at the end of March was at the highest level for the last 20 years, and the water reservoir filling is also still significantly higher than the normal. We expect the hydro reservoirs to be full mid-July and, given normal weather conditions, 8-10 TWh water spilt.

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Alps hydro: A dry Easter

Eylert Ellefsen
,
April 3, 2020

The hydrological balance in the Alps areas dropped 9 TWh over the last 30 days, EQ's hydrology analysis shows. That translates to a 4000 MW shortfall for every hour during a 3-month summer period. The reduction in the hydro resources varied much among the four countries included (Austria, Switzerland, France and Italy).

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Falling European electricity consumption due to Coronavirus – updated numbers

Eylert Ellefsen
,
March 19, 2020

We now see more clearly the effect in electricity demand on these national measures to prevent or reduce further infection. Here is a selection of countries with an observable reduction in consumption.

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Italian electricity consumption falls sharply due to Corona measures

Eylert Ellefsen
,
March 17, 2020

Measures to combat the Corona epidemic is starting to have a bigger impact on electricity demand across Europe, and in especially in Italy, than the financial crisis in 2008.

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Norway – can water spillage be avoided?

Eylert Ellefsen
,
February 17, 2020

An extreme hydrological situation across Norway. The hydrological balance by the end of February is estimated to be 22.5 TWh, which is close to an all-time high. During the last 20 years, we have only seen comparable situations during 2000 and 2005.

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Normalized hydropower situation in the Southeast Europe by Christmas and New Year's Eve

Eylert Ellefsen
,
December 20, 2019

Despite a dry spell in October, the hydropower situation in Southeast Europe improved significantly during a wet November. Throughout December, the situation has normalized in most areas.

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Extreme snow levels in the Alps – and more to come during Christmas week

Eylert Ellefsen
,
December 19, 2019

The snow conditions across the Alps are superb before the Christmas week, close to 150% of normal levels. Weather outlooks are wet too so that the hydrological balance will improve further towards New Year’s Eve.

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Nordic hydrology; no surprise during Christmas period

Eylert Ellefsen
,
December 16, 2019

EQ expects the hydropower situation in the Nord Pool areas to be rather stable during the Christmas period, with moderate precipitation levels, slightly declining hydrological balance and rather mild temperatures‍.

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