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Mr Hydrology joins EQ

Hugo Birkelund
Archived blog post. This blog post has been transferred from our previous blogging platform. Links and images may not work as intended.

We are pleased to announce that Eylert Ellefsen joins Energy Quantified (EQ) as a senior analyst. Many will recognise Eylert as the person who pioneered the development of hydro models in Europe.

Eylert's background

Eylert comes from Wattsight (former Markedskraft), where he for the last 19 years distinguished himself as a leading contributor to the analysis team. His attention to details and ability to tie it all together into a coherent market analysis earned him his colleague’s and client’s recognition and admiration.

The next generation hydro models

By hiring Eylert, we confirm our commitment to build and operate the next generation hydro-power and hydrology forecast models. We aim to focus on the short- and medium-term price formation effect stemming from the hydro system. In line with the hitherto developed EQ models, the planned hydro system will entail unprecedented high resolution, broad coverage and attention to details. The work so far clearly points to a future where hydro production and hydrology will be much richer described and deeper understood than up to now.  

Why is this important for you?

For you, this means an improved early-warning system on how hydro production affects the short-term power markets. An improved understanding of the short-term effects in hydrology will also spill over into an improved understanding of hydrology and forecasts of with longer lead horizon.

Follow the development

You can already make use of EQ's hydrology numbers by exploring our self-service database of actuals related to hydrology, like hydro production and reservoir levels. EQ also provides capacities of available capacity generated from REMIT messages linked to hydro production, both on individual units and stacked to the total for any price area.

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Record precipitation and hydropower production in the SEE region subdue spot prices

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Precipitation across Southeastern Europe (SEE) in weeks 1-7 were the highest on record, pushing hydropower production to record highs as well, at nearly twice the 2019 and 2020 levels.

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Nordic hydrology 5 months from now: What can we tell you?

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The Nordic hydrological balance has weakened by about 10 TWh since the beginning of the year. Our models still show it's more likely than not that the balance will have recovered to above normal levels by the end of July.

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Electricity demand is back across Europe!

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According to our numbers, electricity consumption in Europe has recovered faster than expected in Continental Europe and the Nordic market during Q3 and Q4.

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